Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.584332 1.852650 2.132127 2.443338 2.778661 3.127672 3.516990
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.123335 1.485578 1.887014 2.357902 2.888726 3.462936 4.125607
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.870770 1.270070 1.733929 2.298354 2.953920 3.680426 4.536115
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.687037 1.107024 1.617895 2.260773 3.027204 3.894004 4.932011
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.579175 1.019434 1.576429 2.296630 3.172780 4.178891 5.398449
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.481213 0.930380 1.521982 2.307397 3.281196 4.415145 5.804708
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.384128 0.827850 1.438988 2.273211 3.327668 4.572616 6.114429
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.354213 0.818890 1.476981 2.390318 3.557751 4.946943 6.677616
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.329533 0.814097 1.518176 2.509873 3.789896 5.323389 7.243506
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.311824 0.817677 1.569389 2.641575 4.036833 5.717746 7.831186
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.301324 0.831421 1.634085 2.790743 4.305836 6.139255 8.452007
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.274984 0.814409 1.652272 2.876137 4.493030 6.460899 8.953696
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.227351 0.756509 1.612294 2.888475 4.596161 6.692187 9.363650
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.167106 0.662669 1.511475 2.812986 4.583859 6.781133 9.603442
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.119204 0.579506 1.418202 2.740834 4.569945 6.863094 9.830139
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085918 0.517306 1.351724 2.701495 4.594945 6.989986 10.108152
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068774 0.489776 1.340273 2.740364 4.723300 7.246355 10.544569
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.051433 0.454569 1.312254 2.752524 4.814166 7.454366 10.921013
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.033022 0.404747 1.253215 2.714659 4.834476 7.570775 11.182965
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.031037 0.414142 1.303386 2.843991 5.085283 7.983492 11.813966
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029367 0.424273 1.354951 2.975715 5.339842 8.401650 12.452588
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.028721 0.438648 1.414752 3.120545 5.613082 8.844545 13.122922
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.029390 0.459066 1.486414 3.284233 5.913066 9.322622 13.838028